Thursday, February 23, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru Episode 3 - with @Rookie_Guru

The Guru and the Rookie talk about their week in DT prep.

(I have had 2 unsuccessful attempts at loading - click on  this link to view on YouTube - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cDGoEACuiaM&feature=youtu.be )

Friday, February 17, 2012

Wednesday, February 15, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 25th Player - West Coast's Matthew Priddis

Can't ignore him anymore.

Yep - he handballs a lot, and doesn't kick the ball much.

But the amount of ball he gets justifies selection.

He is at the Guru optimum age of 27.  Could be a good year with more support around him.

Last year he averaged 105 - this is 6 points above his 3 year average and a huge 11 points above his year before.

His rise supports the rise of the West Coast.

If you see them sustaining their 2011 form, he might be hard to pass up.

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 26th Player - Collingwood's Travis Cloke

I just took a double take.

I have never selected this guy.  I tend to pick running forwards rather than power, target forwards and I feel that their game style can be too DT restrictive.

According to my rankings, Cloke is the third best forward in the comp.

So - can you pick him?

Do you have DT loyalty that prevents you picking Collingwood players?

His last season was 9 points higher that his 3 year average - that is very impressive.

If he continues to rise, he will hit the 100+ ceiling which many forwards simply aren't capable of.

He is durable, averaging over 23 games a season (Collingwood have played lots of finals mind you).

I have never really rated him in DT, but the stats don't lie.  You should consider him.

Monday, February 13, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru 27th Ranked Player - St Kilda's...I mean Collingwood's Luke Ball

People talk up Hodge and Judd in the "dream draft", but there is a reluctance to add Ball who separated the pair with pick 2 overall.

This is reflected in dreamteam selection too, with Ball surely picked less than the other 2.

Ball is coming up to the "dream age" of 27, which is the average age of the top 50.  This is good news - it could be the big year!

He average 96 last year, 6 points up on his 3 year average.

He is averaging 22 games a year over the last 3 seasons.

He has played in dominating teams without being the tagged player.  If you were playing Collingwood would you tag Ball ahead of Swan or Pendles?  This means that he is more inclined to pick up the cheap points.

Another unique pick worth considering.

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 28th Player - Sydney's Ryan O'Keefe

2012 looks like being the year of mid/for.

At this stage I have six of them in my lineup.

However, O'Keefe isn't one of them.

Price and age are my main two factors keeping him out of my team.

Similar to other players discussed, he will be someone I look to upgrade to later in the year.  But starting with him doesn't add to value for me.

Good news if you select him - he has proved to be durable, and is a high scoring option for a forward.

His dual position adaptability makes him more valuable in my book.  If you have a Winderlich in your midfield you can play the swaps if there is injuries without burning a trade.

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 29th Player - Sydney's Jude Bolton

I was surprised to find Jude in my top 50.

I was even more surprised to see him so high up.

According to this list, he is a better buy than Franklin, Deledio, Hodge, Cox and Scotland.

This might just go to some vagaries of my list!

However, looking at Jude's stats, he might be one of the over 30s worth considering.

He has average 90.66 over the last 3 seasons.  Last year he averaged 90.

He has averaged 22 games a season in that time.

Durability and consistency are good things to consider.

His 30+ age makes him hard for me to pick though.  Sydney are also known as being a better Supercoach than Dreamteam side.

If you play Super Coach, might be worth checking out his numbers and value.

I won't be picking him in my DT as I do have an age policy.

Sorry Jude.

@Dreamteam_Guru 30th Ranked player - Richmond's Brett Deledio

Some people talk up disappointment in Deledio.

Over rated.

Better pick ones out there.

Better picks in his draft.

Good news is that plenty of people believe that and therefore won't pick him.

He is a great DT player, and his multi positional adaptability makes him one of my first picked players.

With Richmond on the rise, I suspect his numbers to be on the rise.  Jump on.

@Dreamteam_Guru 31st ranked player - Geelong's James Kelly

I like this guy.

In a high valued midfield, this guy can easily go under the radar - this can make him a unique pick and could be the difference from you equalling everyone else or actually winning.

A good strategy: don't buy him straight away. See how he goes during the season.  Wait for your rookies to increase in value, sell one high and buy Kelly cheap.

He isn't a popular choice which makes him more valuable in my opinion.

Thursday, February 9, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru 32nd Ranked Player - Dean Cox

I have said before that the top 50 is very midfielder heavy.

Would it surprise you that Big Cox is the only ruckman in my top 50.

That is how unique he is.

A ruckman who scores at a midfield level.

In the last few years I have held off picking him due to his age and price.  I don't see that he can sustain his numbers.

By the end of the season he usually finds his way into my team as I can win without him.

In the past he has been a defensive pick - as everyone has him.  More people might be concerned about his age, which might make him unique now.

At the moment, I have selected Goldstein ahead of him, but this might change before round 1.

Goldstein plays the suns and the giants twice, and his numbers and team are on the rise.

That is the clincher for me at present.

Monday, February 6, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 34th Player - Hawthorn's Luke Hodge

Interesting one.  Over the last couple of seasons, he has been listed only as a midfielder, which makes him less attractive.

It also makes him less selected.

He has averaged 93 over the last 3 seasons, and averages 94 last season.  he is also coming into ideal DT age of 27 which could mean a good year for him.

The Hawks are on the rise - with more support, Hodge's number could go even higher.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru 34th Ranked Player - Carlton's Heath Scotland

DT's most expensive player.  Handy to have as he is a dual position player too.

However...he is too expensive for me this year.  For the money I am to outlay on him, I would prefer to spend the coin on Goddard and save a few dollars to spend elsewhere.

Although he is the most expensive defender, according to my ranking list he is the third best DT defensive option.  Therefore if I spend my money on one of the other 2, I am actually in front of the salary cap.

Might break into my team during the season though!  One to watch out for.

@Dreamteam_Guru 35th ranked player - St Kilda's Sam Fisher

There have been quite a few Saints that have appeared in the bottom half of the top 50.

I see this as a problem for two reasons.

I think the saints are on the way down the ladder.  I don't think that this is the year to stock up on Saints.

And even if you did stock up, I would only look at one player for each position.  At the money you would spend to get these premium players, you don't want both or all your players in the one position off on the bye week.

I would always go Goddard ahead of Fisher.  Therefore he is a pass for me this season.

Could be a good unique pick though - are you tempted?

Friday, February 3, 2012

@Dreamteam_guru ranked 36th Player - Hawthorn's Lance Franklin

This is the Guru's 100th BLOG post - thanks for reading on!

Lance Franklin is next up in my top 50.

This year is all about the mid/forward positional players - there are heaps to choose from.

With this in mind, many might pass up on Buddy - this may make him a unique pick this year.

Hawthorn will be flying high this year.  At this end of the season, you probably only want one hawk as they will both be unavailable in the multi-bye week.  So do you pick Buddy or Jordan Lewis?

For me, I'd suggest picking Lewis now, and hopefully Buddy's price will drop - jump on in the second half of the season.

Thursday, February 2, 2012

Episode 1 - a @Dreamteam_Guru innovation


Made with @Rookie_Guru

@Dreamteam_Guru ranked 37th Player - Collingwood's Alan Didak

I was surprised to find him still in my top 50.  I am also surprised by the players he is ahead of given his season last year.

However his poor season was only poor in comparison to his previous years.  For a forward option, it wasn't terrible - just not profitable.

Good news is that he is cheap this year.  His price is reflective of his 2011 - not what he is capable of.

I would suggest heavily tracking him in pre season.  If he has a return to his year's of past, he could be one of the best bargains in DT history.

His dual positioning makes him even more likely to get picked by me.  It's certainly handy (especially with more byes to consider this year).

Is Dids on your radar, or are you of the school that he is your most hated player in your most hated team?

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

@Dreamteam_Guru 38th ranked player - Essendon's Dyson Heppell

A downfall on my formula I have always found is its reluctance to include second year players.

This is the first time since I have started doing this system that I have had a second year player break into the top 50.

A bit of a spoiler alert: he is the only second year player to make it this year.

He is only listed a defender this year, but Jobe has indicated more midfield time for Heppell this year.  This could see a rise in DT points.

At the moment he is in my team, but I will look at him through the NAB cup to see if he stays.  Will you pick him too?